Connect with us

Businesses

With last phase of voting left, market volatility would increase

Published

on

New Delhi, May 26 (IANS) Markets were on a roll, and they had plenty of action and drama as well in the week gone by. The previously announced holiday on Thursday, on account of Buddha Purnima, was cancelled by the exchanges on Monday, considering the fact that two holidays in a week would break the momentum.

As events turned out, Thursday was the key pivot for the markets as they gained a massive 1,197 points on BSESENSEX and 370 points on NIFTY on Thursday. In the process, they made new lifetime highs as well. The RBI declaring a dividend of Rs 2.1 lakh crore for the financial year ended March 2024 was a great help as well, as it ensured that the fiscal deficit the government is targeting is well under control.

At the end of the four-day week, BSESENSEX gained two and lost two sessions, while NIFTY gained three and lost one. BSESENSEX gained 1,404.45 points or 1.90 per cent to close at 75,410.39 points, while NIFTY gained 455.10 points or 2.02 per cent to close at 22,957.10 points.

The broader markets saw BSE100, BSE200 and BSE500 gain 1.87 per cent, 1.87 per cent and 1.65 per cent respectively. BSEMIDCAP gained 1.10 per cent, while BSESMALLCAP was up 0.08 per cent. The new intraday highs made on Friday were 75,499.91 points and 23,026.40 points.

The Indian Rupee had a strong showing during the week and gained 24 paise or 0.29 per cent to close at Rs 83.10 to the US Dollar. Dow Jones saw selling pressure and lost in three of the five trading sessions. It was down 934 points or 2.33 per cent to close at 39,069.59 points.

ALSO READ:  UST acquires Australian process transformation company Leonardo

The week gone by saw one new mainboard listing-shares of Go Digit General Insurance Limited, which were issued at Rs 272 listed on Thursday, May 23. The opening price was Rs 281.10 on BSE. Shares closed day one at Rs 305.75, a gain of Rs 33.75 or 12.40 per cent. On Friday, the share lost some ground and closed at Rs 300.15, a reduced gain since the listing of Rs 28.15 or 10.35 per cent.

The issue from Awfis Space Solutions Limited is currently on. The issue consists of a fresh issue of Rs 128 crore and an offer for sale of 1,22,95,699 equity shares in a price band of Rs 364-383. The company, as the name suggests, is in the business of providing common workspaces on a daily or longer-term contracted basis.

Currently, the company is on a net loss, based on its restated accounts, which are showing a declining trend. Looking at the leverage opportunity that the company has and the fact that 75 per cent of the space is rented out, it could be expected that the company should report positive numbers for the year ended March 25.

ALSO READ:  Gold prices soar to record high

The issue opened on Wednesday, May 22, and would close on Monday, May 27. At the end of the second day of the issue opening, it received decent support, with the issue being subscribed an overall 11.4 times.

The QIB portion was subscribed 3.39 times, the HNI portion 20.98 times and the Retail portion 21.08 times. Investors looking for listing pop and having a medium-term holding period would be rewarded if their application for the share is successful.

The week ahead sees May futures expire on Thursday, May 30. The current value of NIFTY at 22,957.10 points is higher by 386.75 points or 1.71 per cent compared to the May series opening of 22,570.35 points. It would be interesting to note that all the gains have been made in the previous week, as prior to this, the series was negative. While currently the momentum is with the bulls, one needs to be cautious as to the way markets may move on election results eve.

The sixth phase of voting has concluded, and now just the seventh and final phase of voting on Saturday, June 1, remains. With the sharp rally over the last two weeks since markets made a bottom on Monday, May 13, they have rallied quite sharply. They have also made new lifetime highs. Very clearly, the markets are convinced that the ruling BJP-led NDA would form the next government. Exit poll assessment would begin Saturday evening and carry on till results are announced on Tuesday morning.

ALSO READ:  India, Ghana agree to operationalise UPI link within 6 months

With expiry happening during the coming week, volatility on expiry day could get substantially elevated as people decide to lighten positions and adopt a wait-and-watch attitude. FPIs have been big sellers in the month of May and, barring a couple of days, sold every day. This excess of liquidity, while it was absorbed by domestic institutions, could see a mismatch on expiry day.

Coming to the week ahead, expect sharp volatility as expiry day approaches. The election results getting closer could cause volatility to rise post-futures expiry as positions would, in all probability, get liquidated to a large extent. With limited positions open in the market from Monday to Wednesday in the week, June 3 to June 6 could see really sharp volatility. The strategy for the week ahead would be to reduce positions as the week progresses.

Refrain from any overweight positions in either direction, as sharp volatility is expected. Analyse exit polls for all they are worth, look at the results and then take a call.

Trade cautiously.

(Arun Kejriwal is the founder of Kejriwal Research and Investment Services. The views expressed are personal)

–IANS

arun/sd/kvd

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Businesses

In talks with Paytm to acquire its movies and events biz: Zomato

Published

on

By

New Delhi, June 16 (IANS) Online food delivery platform Zomato on Sunday confirmed that it is in discussions with financial services major Paytm for acquiring its movies and ticketing business but “no binding decision has been taken at this stage”.

In a stock exchange filing, the company said the discussion to acquire Paytm’s movies and ticketing business is being undertaken “with an intent to further strengthen our Going-out business and is in line with our stated position of focusing only on our four key businesses currently.”

Reports earlier claimed that the potential deal could value Paytm’s movies and ticketing business at around Rs 1,500 crore.

However, Zomato did not divulge any financial details at this stage.

“We acknowledge that we are in discussions with Paytm for the aforementioned transaction, however, no binding decision has been taken at this stage that would warrant a Board approval and subsequent disclosure in accordance with applicable law,” said Zomato in its filing.

ALSO READ:  IEPFA signs pact with DBS Bank to protect investors

If finalised, this acquisition would be Zomato’s second-largest purchase, following its acquisition of quick commerce platform Blinkit in 2021, which was an all-stock deal worth Rs 4,447 crore.

Meanwhile, Zomato has invested Rs 300 crore in Blinkit, as this segment is projected to surpass its core food delivery business.

Additionally, the company will also infuse Rs 100 crore in Zomato Entertainment, its events arm, which specialises in curating and selling tickets for concerts, parties, and festivals.

–IANS

na/

Continue Reading

Businesses

Zomato may buy Paytm's movie ticketing business: Reports

Published

on

By

New Delhi, June 16 (IANS) Online food delivery platform Zomato is in advanced discussions to buy Paytm’s movie ticketing and events business, according to multiple reports.

This move aligns with Zomato’s plan to expand its ‘going out’ offerings.

The potential deal could value Paytm’s vertical at around Rs 1,500 crore, as per reports.

Zomato or Paytm were yet to comment on the reports.

If finalised, this acquisition would be Zomato’s second-largest purchase, following its acquisition of quick commerce platform Blinkit in 2021, which was an all-stock deal worth Rs 4,447 crore.

Meanwhile, Zomato has invested Rs 300 crore in its quick commerce arm, Blinkit, as this segment is projected to surpass its core food delivery business.

The board of the company has approved the investment of Rs 300 crore in Blinkit Commerce, as per filings with the Registrar of Companies accessed via TheKredible.

Additionally, Zomato will also invest Rs 100 crore in Zomato Entertainment, its events arm, which specialises in curating and selling tickets for concerts, parties, and festivals.

ALSO READ:  Gold prices soar to record high

–IANS

shs/vd

Continue Reading

Businesses

First-ever direct flight between India and Cambodia launched

Published

on

By

Phnom Penh, June 16 (IANS) Cambodian Deputy Prime Minister Neth Savoeun and Indian Ambassador to the country Devyani Khobragade launched the first-ever direct flight between Phnom Penh and New Delhi on Sunday.

The flight between the two capitals will be operated four times a week by Cambodia’s national flag carrier Cambodia Angkor Air.

Several members of the Indian community also joined the flight inauguration ceremony which not only marks ease of travel for tourists but also strengthens the historic ties between the two countries.

The Embassy of India in Phnom Penh hailed the development as a “historic moment”, citing India’s “Act East” Policy.

A statement released by Angkor Air said that the new connection will make the Angkor Archaeological Park, a UNESCO-listed world heritage site, more accessible to Indian tourists and also provide Cambodian patients better access to medical treatments in India.

“With both nations’ rich histories and mutual interests, Cambodia Angkor Air is optimistic about the potential and positive impact of this new service,” the statement said.

ALSO READ:  UST acquires Australian process transformation company Leonardo

Citing India’s involvement in the restoration of Angkor Wat and Preah Vihear temples in Cambodia depicts the cultural and linguistic connect, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has time and again spotlighted the historical and civilisational links between the two countries.

–IANS

as/khz

Continue Reading

Businesses

Markets need correction but current momentum indicates otherwise

Published

on

By

New Delhi, June 16 (IANS) After the sharp gains witnessed in the previous week, markets were circumspect this time around but continued to post gains. Markets are at lifetime highs, and in the previous week, one saw the market breadth gaining substantially.

One reason for the above could be the fact that key portfolios of the Cabinet have been retained by the ruling party, and there is no significant change in ministers. This implies continuity. Probably, that explains why the markets rallied and why one saw such huge momentum. The market believes that the policies and thinking of the government in Modi 3.0 would be on similar lines as in the previous stint, even though this is a coalition government.

Sensex gained on three of the five trading sessions and lost on two, while NIFTY gained on four sessions and lost on one session. BSESENSEX gained 299.41 points or 0.39 per cent to close at 76,992.77 points, while NIFTY gained 175.45 points or 0.75 per cent to close at 23,465.60 points. The broader indices like BSE100, BSE200 and BSE500 gained 1.29 per cent, 1.68 per cent and 2.02 per cent. BSEMIDCAP gained 4.41 per cent, while BSESMALLCAP was up 5.07 per cent.

In the benchmark indices, one is seeing a churning of heavyweight stocks. In the previous week, the top gainers were FMCG and IT stocks. This week, they were under pressure, and we saw cement shares rallying. I believe this rotation will continue till the announcement of the budget and the onset of Quarter One results for the April to June Quarter.

If there is one serious concern in the market, it’s the fact that valuations have run up quite sharply, and we have not seen any meaningful improvement in results, which indicates a solid improvement in earnings growth.

ALSO READ:  IEPFA signs pact with DBS Bank to protect investors

The Indian Rupee lost some ground and was down 19 paise or 0.23 per cent to close at Rs 83.56 to the US Dollar. There appears to be clarity in the US markets that there would be no immediate rate cut and that in the current calendar year, there would be just one rate cut. Dow Jones lost 209.83 points or 0.54 per cent to close at 38,589.16 points. Dow gained on just one of the five sessions and lost on four.

In primary market news, we had one issue which opened and closed for subscription last week. The issue from Le Travenues Technologies Limited was subscribed 98.1 times overall. The QIB portion was subscribed 106.73 times, the HNI portion was subscribed 110.25 times, and the Retail portion was subscribed 53.95 times. There were 26.75 lakh applications overall.

In the week ahead, we begin the week with a trading holiday on Monday. This will shorten the week and increase volatility to some extent. There are three issues which are opening in the coming week. The first of the lot is the issue from DEE Development Engineers Limited, which is tapping the capital markets with its fresh issue of Rs 325 crore and an offer for sale of 45.82 lakh shares in a price band of Rs 193-203.

The company is in the business of piping solutions for the oil and gas sector, chemical sector and supercritical and power sector. It also makes structural towers for the wind energy space. It began operations in Haryana and has now expanded operations into Kutch in Gujarat. This place is strategically located with two ports, Kandla and Mundra, in the vicinity, customers for wind energy having their sites in the vicinity, and major steel suppliers being in a 25-kilometre radius. The location helps in reducing costs on account of inward transportation significantly.

ALSO READ:  Anti-abuse provisions should not be used in receipt of capital from credible investors: Experts

The expansion happening at Kutch will take about 6-8 months to fructify. I believe the company has a great future, and it will do well after the commissioning of the new plant. The numbers of the company would reflect improved scale and efficiency for the year ended March 26. Only if you have an investment horizon of 18 months or more should you invest now. There may always be listing gains looking at the market mood, but otherwise, investment is for the medium to long term.

The second issue is from a NBFC based out of Rajasthan, Akme Fintrade (India) Limited. The company is raising through a fresh issue of 1.1 crore shares in a price band of Rs 114-120. The issue opens on Wednesday, June 19 and closes on Friday, June 21.

The NBFC space is crowded, and recent issues in this space have not done well. The company and its merchant banker have chosen not to have a roadshow in Mumbai for this issue. This speaks volumes for their confidence in marketing the issue. One wishes them luck.

The third issue is from Stanley Lifestyles Limited, which is tapping the capital markets with its fresh issue of Rs 200 crore and an offer for sale of 91,33,454 shares in a price band of Rs 351-369. The issue opens on Friday, June 21 and closes on Tuesday, June 25.

ALSO READ:  India likely to attract up to Rs 4 lakh crore investments in PLI schemes, generate 2 lakh jobs

The company is a bespoke manufacturer of super-premium and luxury furniture brands in India. It’s a home-grown brand, and a little over half its revenues come from sofas and recliners. The company crafts its products as per the requirements of its customers, and everything’s made to order.

The business has been growing, and with funds being raised to open more stores, benefits of the same would be available as time passes. The company is in a niche segment where luxury defines markets. Take a measured call, as growth in revenues will not be a factor of perpendicular growth.

Coming to the markets in the week ahead, as mentioned earlier, it would be a four-day week. Momentum and market breadth are in favour of the bulls, and there seems to be no letting go of them as of now. However, the run-up has been fast and other than the sharp one-day correction on June 4, no meaningful corrections as of now.

Market corrections come suddenly and without warning. Will it happen this week or the next? Not sure. Keep one ear to the ground and prepare for the same because that could be sharp and meaningful. Until that happens, ride the wave as long as the going is good.

A simple strategy for the period ahead would be to ensure that you have no overnight exposure, as markets could open gap-up or gap-down. This could be dangerous. Trading opportunities would exist galore and provide plenty of trades to be facilitated. Use the opportunities to trade and await the correction when it comes.

Trade cautiously.

(Arun Kejriwal is the founder of Kejriwal Research and Investment Services. The views expressed are personal)

–IANS

arun/sd/kvd

Continue Reading

Businesses

Modi 3.0: Stock markets to touch new high in 1 yr, say global rating agencies

Published

on

By

New Delhi, June 16 (IANS) Indian stock markets have seen a robust rally since the new government’s formation, closing at an all-time high in the last week. According to top rating agencies, the indices are set to gain new highs in the next 12 months.

It was the second consecutive week when Indian frontline indices Sensex and Nifty made a new all-time high of 77,145 and 23,490 respectively, as inflation cooled off.

The stock market is attracting global funds which are going to accelerate soon.

Moreover, the stock markets have emerged as a favourite investment destination for retail investors.

According to global rating agency Moody’s, its “12-month forward BSE Sensex target is 82,000, implying 14 per cent upside”.

In its latest report, Moody’s said that the key benefit to the market of the NDA’s re-election is “policy predictability, which will influence how growth and equity return pan out in the coming five years”.

ALSO READ:  India, Ghana agree to operationalise UPI link within 6 months

“We believe the government is likely to continue focusing on macro stability (i.e., inflation hawkishness) to inform policy,” according to the report.

“With government continuity now in place, we believe the market can look forward to further structural reforms, giving us more confidence in the earnings cycle. Macro stability with rising GDP growth relative to real rates should extend India’s outperformance over emerging markets equities,” it added.

According to Moody’s, India’s stock market has been making new highs, and the debate now is over what could take the market materially higher.

“In our view, the government’s mandate is likely to result in policy changes that will lengthen the earnings cycle and surprise the market,” it emphasised.

With Modi 3.0 in power, more will come over the next five years in the form of positive structural shifts.

Moreover, India has reclaimed the fourth-biggest global equity market tag from Hong Kong. The country’s market capitalisation soared 10 per cent to reach $5.2 trillion.

ALSO READ:  Anti-abuse provisions should not be used in receipt of capital from credible investors: Experts

In comparison, Hong Kong’s equity market cap is $5.17 trillion, down 5.4 per cent from the high of $5.47 trillion this year.

At present, India is the second-largest emerging market after China.

Global investors now prioritise liquidity and can’t afford to ignore the Indian stock market, which is booming with retail investments, according to global analysts.

–IANS

na/khz

Continue Reading

Trending